Monday, 4 April 2011

The paradox of Labour's lead!

UK Polling Report has highlighted that Labour now has a pretty consistent lead in voting intention. Which seems remarkable after such a massive defeat and terrible result at the General Election.  However, the answers to other questions are often rather bad for Labour. Why is this? What does it mean?

The article seems to highlight that about 33% of Labour's support is very soft and is rather more about discontent with the track the country is on than active support for Labour.

Anthony Wells writes, "Only 63% of Labour’s own voters think Ed Miliband would make the best Prime Minister, only 54% think he is up to the job of Labour leader. Only 69% of Labour voters trust Labour more than the coalition more than Labour to deal with the deficit, 77% trust Miliband & Balls to run the economy more than Cameron & Osborne. 45% of their own voters think Labour need to make major changes to be fit for government. In short, a substantial minority of people who say they’ll vote Labour don’t seem to be very pro-Labour when you inquire further.
My guess is that the reason is that Labour are really the only major opposition party to the coalition and hence many people will be telling pollsters they’d vote Labour as the only mainstream way of voting against the coalition. If that is the case, you wouldn’t necessarily expect all those people to have positive views of Labour – they are benefiting from a negative anti-government vote, not necessarily a pro-Labour one."

 see the full post here.

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